The Houston Rockets (23-15) are favored by 4.5 points against the Minnesota Timberwolves (27-14) on Friday, January 16, 2026 at 9:30 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN and SCHN.
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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Friday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final tally of Rockets 118, Timberwolves 114.
- Moneyline Pick: Rockets (-180)
- Total Pick: Over 222.5 (computer predicts 231.5 points)
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+4.5)
Recent Rockets vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2/21/2025 | Rockets | -3.5 | 221.5 | -162 | +137 | 121-115 HOU |
| 2/6/2025 | Timberwolves | -1 | 214 | -118 | -102 | 127-114 MIN |
| 12/27/2024 | Rockets | -1 | 215 | -111 | -108 | 113-112 MIN |
| 11/26/2024 | Timberwolves | -3.5 | 220 | -151 | +127 | 117-111 HOU |
Rockets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Houston is 18-20-0 ATS this season.
- When they have played as at least 4.5-point favorites this season, the Rockets are 12-17 against the spread.
- A total of 19 of Houston's 41 games with a set total have hit the over (46.3%).
- The Rockets have won 22, or 62.9%, of the 35 games they've played as favorites this season.
- Houston has a record of 17-10, a 63% win rate, when it's favored by -180 or more by oddsmakers this season.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota's ATS record is 18-23-0 this season.
- The Timberwolves are 3-1 against the spread when an underdog by 4.5 points or more this year.
- Minnesota has hit the over in 20 of its 41 games with a set total (48.8%).
- The Timberwolves have won three of the nine games they were the underdog on the moneyline this season (33.3%).
- Minnesota has gone 2-2 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +150 or longer (50%).
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Rockets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Rockets
Rockets:
Dorian Finney-Smith: Day-To-Day (Ankle),
Fred VanVleet: Out For Season (Acl),
Tari Eason: Day-To-Day (Ankle)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Terrence Shannon: Out (Foot),
Anthony Edwards: Out (Foot)
Rockets vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Friday, January 16, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN and SCHN
- Location: Houston, Texas
- Arena: Toyota Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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