The Toronto Maple Leafs (24-16-8) square off against the Minnesota Wild (27-13-9) at Scotiabank Arena on Monday, Jan. 19 at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The Maple Leafs took down the Winnipeg Jets 4-3 in overtime in their last game, while the Wild are coming off a 5-4 overtime win over the Buffalo Sabres.
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Ahead of this matchup, here is who we predict to emerge victorious in Monday's hockey contest.
The Wild are 4-3-3 over the last 10 contests, putting up 34 total goals (six power-play goals on 31 power-play opportunities during that span, for a conversion rate of 19.4%). They have allowed 35 goals to their opponents.
Maple Leafs vs. Wild Predictions for Monday
Our computer projection model for this contest expects a final result of Maple Leafs 4, Wild 3.
- Moneyline Pick: Maple Leafs (-125)
- Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.1 goals on average)
- Spread Pick: Wild (+1.5)
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Maple Leafs Splits and Trends
- The Maple Leafs are 7-8-15 in overtime games on their way to a 24-16-8 overall record.
- In the 21 games Toronto has played that were decided by one goal, it has an 11-3-7 record (good for 29 points).
- In the three games this season the Maple Leafs scored just one goal, they finished 0-2-1.
- Toronto has scored exactly two goals in 12 games this season (4-5-3 record, 11 points).
- The Maple Leafs have scored three or more goals 32 times, and are 20-8-4 in those games (to record 44 points).
- In the 14 games when Toronto has scored a single power-play goal, it went 6-4-4 to record 16 points.
- When it has outshot its opponent, Toronto is 5-6-1 (11 points).
- The Maple Leafs have been outshot by opponents 34 times, and went 17-10-7 (41 points).
Wild Splits and Trends
- The Wild (27-13-9 overall) have posted a record of 9-9-18 in matchups that have required OT this season.
- Minnesota has earned 22 points (8-1-6) in its 15 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
- In eight games this season when the Wild finished a game with only one goal, they earned a total of four points (1-5-2).
- Minnesota has eight points (3-6-2) when scoring two goals this season.
- The Wild have earned 51 points in their 30 games with at least three goals scored.
- This season, Minnesota has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 21 games and picked up 28 points with a record of 12-5-4.
- When outshooting its opponent this season, Minnesota is 12-5-5 (29 points).
- The Wild's opponents have had more shots in 26 games. The Wild went 14-8-4 in those contests (32 points).
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Team Stats Comparison
| Maple Leafs Rank | Maple Leafs AVG | Wild AVG | Wild Rank | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5th | 3.38 | Goals Scored | 3.1 | 17th |
| 23rd | 3.27 | Goals Allowed | 2.8 | 7th |
| 22nd | 27 | Shots | 28.7 | 12th |
| 32nd | 31.4 | Shots Allowed | 29.5 | 26th |
| 23rd | 16.95% | Power Play % | 22.36% | 11th |
| 3rd | 84.25% | Penalty Kill % | 76.67% | 27th |
Maple Leafs vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel
- When: Monday, January 19, 2026 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV Channel: ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
- Live Stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
- Where: Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario
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