The Minnesota Timberwolves are slight 2.5-point underdogs in Game 3 of the opening round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Target Center on Thursday, tipping off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Amazon Prime Video.
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions for Thursday
Our computer projection model for this contest predicts a final tally of Timberwolves 119, Nuggets 118.
- Moneyline Pick: Timberwolves (+111)
- Total Pick: Over 233.5 (computer predicts 235.6 points)
- Pick ATS: Timberwolves (+2.5)
Recent Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4/20/2026 | Nuggets | -7.5 | 232.5 | -293 | +236 | 119-114 MIN |
| 4/18/2026 | Nuggets | -6.5 | 232.5 | -282 | +228 | 116-105 DEN |
| 3/1/2026 | Nuggets | -2.5 | 241.5 | -146 | +123 | 117-108 MIN |
| 12/25/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 238.5 | -116 | -103 | 142-138 DEN |
| 11/15/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 237 | -114 | -105 | 123-112 DEN |
| 10/27/2025 | Nuggets | -6.5 | 229.5 | -240 | +197 | 127-114 DEN |
| 4/1/2025 | Nuggets | -2 | 229.5 | -123 | +103 | 140-139 MIN |
| 3/12/2025 | Nuggets | -1.5 | 233.5 | -125 | +105 | 115-95 MIN |
| 1/25/2025 | Nuggets | -3.5 | 229.5 | -163 | +138 | 133-104 MIN |
| 11/1/2024 | Timberwolves | -4 | 219.5 | -176 | +149 | 119-116 MIN |
Nuggets 2025-26 Betting Trends
- So far this season, Denver has put together a 44-38-0 record against the spread.
- In games this season they were favored by 2.5 points or more, the Nuggets have a 24-29 record against the spread.
- In Denver's 82 games with a set total, 51 have hit the over (62.2%).
- This season, the Nuggets have won 42 out of the 58 games, or 72.4%, in which they've been favored.
- This season, Denver has won 39 of its 52 games, or 75%, when favored by at least -131 on the moneyline.
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota has gone 38-44-0 ATS this year.
- When they have played as at least 2.5-point underdogs this year, the Timberwolves are 9-8 against the spread.
- The teams have combined to hit the over in 38 of Minnesota's 82 games with a set total.
- The Timberwolves have won 34.8% of the games this season they were the moneyline underdog (8-15).
- Minnesota has gone 6-11 in games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +111 or longer (35.3%).
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Injury Report
Nuggets
Nuggets:
Aaron Gordon: Probable (Calf),
Peyton Watson: Out (Hamstring)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Anthony Edwards: Questionable (Knee)
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Thursday, April 23, 2026
- Game time: 9:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: Amazon Prime Video
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
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