Wild vs. Stars Prediction & Picks - NHL Playoffs First Round Game 5

The Dallas Stars and Minnesota Wild meet in Game 5 of the NHL Playoffs First Round at American Airlines Center on Tuesday, April 28, with puck drop at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN2. The series is tied up 2-2. The Wild are underdogs (+106) against the Stars (-126).

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Ahead of watching this matchup, here's a look at which squad we predict will emerge with the victory in Tuesday's NHL Playoffs First Round action.

Wild vs. Stars Predictions for Tuesday

Our computer model for this matchup calls for a final score of Stars 4, Wild 2.

• Moneyline Pick: Stars (-126)
• Total Pick: Over 5.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
• Spread Pick: Wild (+1.5)

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Stars Splits and Trends

• The Stars are 13-13-26 in overtime contests as part of a 50-20-12 overall record.
• In the 38 games Dallas has played that were decided by one goal, it has a 23-6-9 record (good for 55 points).
• The 13 times this season the Stars finished a game with only one goal, they went 2-8-3 (seven points).
• Dallas has finished 4-3-4 in the 11 games this season when it scored exactly two goals (registering 12 points).
• The Stars are 46-7-6 in the 59 games when they have scored at least three goals (to record 98 points).
• In the 34 games when Dallas has recorded a lone power-play goal, it registered 54 points after finishing 26-6-2.
• In the 37 games this season in which it has outshot its opponent, Dallas is 26-8-3 (55 points).
• The Stars' opponents have had more shots in 45 games. The Stars finished 24-11-10 in those matchups (58 points).

Wild Splits and Trends

• The Wild have a 16-13-29 record in overtime games this season and a 46-24-12 overall record.
• Minnesota has earned 42 points (17-5-8) in its 30 games that finished with a one-goal margin.
• This season the Wild registered only one goal in 11 games and have gone 1-8-2 (four points).
• Minnesota has earned 12 points (4-10-4 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
• The Wild have scored at least three goals in 57 games, earning 93 points from those contests.
• This season, Minnesota has capitalized on a single power-play goal in 36 games and picked up 45 points with a record of 19-10-7.
• When outshooting its opponent this season, Minnesota is 22-11-5 (49 points).
• The Wild have been outshot by opponents in 46 games, going 25-13-8 to register 58 points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Wild vs. Stars Game Time and TV Channel

• When: Tuesday, April 28, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas

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