Photo: Rich Storry / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images
The Minnesota Timberwolves are just 1.5-point underdogs against the Miami Heat in the season opener for both teams at Kaseya Center on Wednesday, October 21, 2026. The game begins at 7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN.
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Predictions for Wednesday
Our computer projections model for this matchup predicts a final score of Heat 119, Timberwolves 117.
- Moneyline Pick: Heat (-118)
- Total Pick: Under 243.5 (computer predicts 235.4 points)
- Pick ATS: Heat (-1.5)
Recent Timberwolves vs. Heat Matchups
| Date | Favorite | Spread | Total | Favorite Moneyline | Underdog Moneyline | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1/6/2026 | Timberwolves | -5.5 | 238.5 | -204 | +169 | 122-94 MIN |
| 1/3/2026 | Timberwolves | -2.5 | 235.5 | -141 | +119 | 125-115 MIN |
Heat 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Miami beat the spread 46 times in 82 games last season.
- The Heat had an ATS record of 23-18 as 1.5-point favorites or greater last season.
- Of Miami's 82 games last season, 46 went over the total.
- The Heat finished with a 25-15 record in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite last season (winning 62.5% of those games).
- In games it played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -118 or shorter last year, Miami had a record of 24-14 (63.2%).
Timberwolves 2025-26 Betting Trends
- Minnesota won 38 games against the spread last season, while failing to cover 44 times.
- As 1.5-point underdogs or more, the Timberwolves went 11-12 against the spread last year.
- Minnesota and its opponent combined to hit the over 38 out of 82 times last season.
- Last season, the Timberwolves won eight out of the 23 games, or 34.8%, in which they were the underdog.
- Minnesota had a record of 8-13, a 38.1% win rate, when it was set as the underdog by -102 or more by bookmakers last season.
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Timberwolves vs. Heat Injury Report
Heat
Heat:
Dru Smith: Out (Calf)
Timberwolves
Timberwolves:
Donte DiVincenzo: Out (Achilles)
Timberwolves vs. Heat Game Time and TV Channel
- Game day: Wednesday, October 21, 2026
- Game time: 7:30 p.m. ET
- TV channel: ESPN
- Location: Miami, Florida
- Arena: Kaseya Center
- Live stream: Watch this game on Fubo (Regional restrictions may apply)
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