Lightning vs. Wild Prediction & Picks - Nov. 7

San Jose Sharks v Minnesota Wild

Photo: David Berding / Getty Images Sport / Getty Images

The Minnesota Wild (12-3-3) will try to prolong a three-game win streak when they face the Tampa Bay Lightning (10-3-2) at home on Saturday, Nov. 7 at 8 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

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To prepare for this matchup, here's who we predict to secure the win in Saturday's hockey action.

In the last 10 contests, the Wild have gone 7-1-2 while scoring 34 goals against 19 goals conceded. On 40 power-play opportunities during that time, they have scored nine goals (22.5%).

Lightning vs. Wild Predictions for Saturday

Our computer projections model for this contest calls for a final result of Wild 4, Lightning 2.

  • Moneyline Pick: Wild (+113)
  • Total Pick: Under 6.5 (computer predicts 6.2 goals on average)
  • Spread Pick: Wild (+1.5)

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Lightning Splits and Trends

  • The Lightning have finished 1-2-3 in overtime matchups as part of an overall record of 10-3-2.
  • Tampa Bay is 2-0-1 (five points) in its three games decided by one goal.
  • In the two games this season the Lightning scored just one goal, they lost both times.
  • The Lightning are 10-1-2 in the 13 games when they have scored more than two goals (to record 22 points).
  • In the nine games when Tampa Bay has recorded a single power-play goal, it went 7-1-1 to register 15 points.
  • When it has outshot its opponent, Tampa Bay is 8-2-1 (17 points).
  • The Lightning have been outshot by opponents in four games, going 2-1-1 to register five points.

Wild Splits and Trends

  • The Wild (12-3-3 overall) have posted a record of -3-3 in matchups that have required OT this season.
  • Minnesota has earned seven points (2-2-3) in its seven games decided by one goal.
  • This season the Wild scored just one goal in one game and they lost that matchup.
  • Minnesota has earned three points (1-2-1 record) this season when scoring exactly two goals .
  • The Wild have earned 24 points in their 13 games with more than two goals scored.
  • This season, Minnesota has recorded a lone power-play goal in seven games and picked up 11 points with a record of 5-1-1.
  • When outshooting its opponent this season, Minnesota is 10-2-0 (20 points).
  • The Wild have been outshot by opponents in five games, going 2-1-2 to record six points.

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Team Stats Comparison

Lightning Rank Lightning AVG Wild AVG Wild Rank
5th 3.73 Goals Scored 3.33 13th
11th 3.00 Goals Allowed 2.17 1st
4th 30.2 Shots 30.2 4th
4th 24.8 Shots Allowed 25.2 6th
26th 17.31% Power Play % 26.56% 8th
16th 77.50% Penalty Kill % 81.48% 11th

Lightning vs. Wild Game Time and TV Channel

  • When: Saturday, November 7, 2026 at 8 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN+
  • Live Stream: Watch this game on ESPN+
  • Where: Grand Casino Arena in Saint Paul, Minnesota

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